Vol. IV No. 14 - Saturday April 2 - April 8. 2005
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Columns
HEADLINES [click on headline to view story]:

Your Health & Happiness

The Doctor's Consultation 

Agony Column

Camera Class by Snapshot

Dr Byte's Computer Conundrums

Money Matters

Life in the Laugh Lane

Your Health & Happiness:  Aid devices for elderly and disabled locals and tourists

Extensive use of technology to develop devices for senior citizens and disabled people will play a vital role in improving their quality of life, the director of the National Electronics and Computer Technology Center (NECTEC), Taweesak Koanantakool recently announced.

Senior citizens will make up more than 10 percent of the Thai population by the end of this year, while the disabled will be about 10 percent, he said. One in four of the elderly will suffer from some form of disability. “Another six percent of them will be dependent on other people,” said Taweesak, during a seminar at the Public Health Ministry.

“The government is currently working on three projects - a reading aid for blind people, a hearing aid using solar energy and a robotic machine for remote eye surgery,” Dr Pannate Pangwuthiphong, director of Metta Pracharak Hospital, in the central province of Nakhon Pathom.

Dr Daranee Suwaphan, director of the Sirindhorn National Medical Rehabilitation Center, urged inventors and researchers to produce medical equipment that would help lower the cost of treatment for the elderly and the disabled in Thailand, and reduce the import of expensive equipment. She said the production of artificial knee joints, wheelchairs and walkers could potentially be made in Thailand. (TNA)


The Doctor's Consultation: Foetal Alcohol Syndrome for boozy babies

by Dr. Iain Corness

Foetal (Fetal if you come from the left hand side of the Atlantic) Alcohol Syndrome is a rather serious condition, but one that is very hard to circumvent.

To show you the relative importance of this condition, Foetal Alcohol Syndrome is the western world’s most common and preventable cause of mental retardation. The reason lies in the very easy crossing of the placental barrier by certain drugs and compounds, and alcohol is one of those. When the pregnant woman drinks alcohol, it is absorbed into the blood stream, and if she drinks enough, she will get drunk. However, whatever the blood alcohol level in the woman, the baby gets the same, as the transfer is so easy across the placental barrier. So if Mum-to-be is uproariously drunk, so is baby-to-be!

While this sounds slightly amusing, if the exposure to high (intoxicating) levels occurs during the first three months of the pregnancy, while the baby is developing its various internal systems, this can cause a breakdown in the completion of these systems. The end result can be central nervous system problems, low birth weight and mental retardation. Some children also suffer facial abnormalities, such as a small head, flat face, stubby nose and tiny eyes set wide apart.

Now before all pregnant ladies who might read this run to ring their obstetricians in a panic, let me also assure you that one drink does not mean disaster! In fact, for some women, many drinks don’t mean disaster. The research has been done (in fact is still continuing) and it confirms that the effects vary widely - some babies escape harm, even though their mothers are heavy drinkers, while others are severely damaged by small amounts of alcohol.

What compounds the problem is that many women who enjoy a social light drink and the occasional heavy one, may be pregnant and not know about it at the time.

The world incidence of Foetal Alcohol Syndrome (FAS) is not all that high at 1.9 per 1,000 live births, since there are many other congenital problems that rate higher. For example, congenital heart disease occurred in 10.1 per 1,000 births in the UK in 2002 according to the University of Ulster who reported the research in 2003. The figures for Down’s Syndrome are around the same level as FAS, but remember that the FAS statistics are numbers that are preventable, whilst Down’s Syndrome is not under our control.

Because taking alcohol while pregnant is an ‘unnecessary’ risk, medical authorities over the world are calling for some sort of ‘blanket’ guidelines, with the USA. The Australian Medical Association (AMA) President Bill Glasson, at the end of last year, called on the Australian federal government’s health and research council to revise its guidelines on alcohol consumption by pregnant women, which currently does not advise women to give up alcohol during pregnancy, since the United States has recommended no alcohol at all during pregnancy since 1999.

The AMA says there is enough evidence to support avoiding alcohol altogether during pregnancy; however, a spokeswoman for the federal health department said, “The National Health and Medical Research Council (in Australia) guidelines were developed by experts in the field but are always under review as a result of current knowledge …” going on to say, “Pregnant women should consult their general practitioner about safe consumption of alcohol during pregnancy.”

I feel that there is probably a ‘safe’ level, which we cannot ascertain, and probably depends on many factors. If you get ‘tiddly’ very quickly, then I agree that no alcohol during pregnancy sounds reasonable.


Agony Column

Dear Hillary,
Her bar was closing and she offered to take me home on her motor bike. I accepted and sat behind her. She gave it a fistful of throttle, the rear wheel spun wildly as thick plumes of blue smoke and the smell of burning rubber filled my nostrils. The rear wheel gained traction, the bike went into a wheel stand and we roared off into the night. I wrapped my arms around her for stability and grabbed onto whatever I could, but the sharp point of her elbow pounding into my ribs told me that I had grabbed the wrong place. She was racing through the gears and the bike was accelerating rapidly. I held onto the seat as she swerved left and then right, just missing a telegraph pole. Ahead I could see a bunch of pedestrians in front of a food cart and she was heading straight for them. They scattered screaming and it was a miracle that she missed hitting any of them or the cart itself. She kept accelerating and almost collided with a telephone booth. It was then that I realized we were still on the footpath. She turned onto the road and had that bike going full speed. We overtook everything in our path. She shouted to me how pretty the lights were as she sped through every red traffic signal on the way to my room. She had to peel me off the seat and carry me inside, I think I was in shock. That night I was good for nothing. She slept soundly but I sat in my chair shaking uncontrollably until sunrise. Are all female bike riders this wild or was she just anxious to get me home?
Mighty Mouse

Dear little Mouse,
You have such a poor self-image that you worry me. What’s this “I was good for nothing” nonsense? You have to learn to stand up for what you want in life, none of this lying down on the job and being a passenger through life, my shrinking Petal. Goodness me, Mighty Mouse, being carried across your own threshold by a little girl who rides a 100 cc step-thru is a little too wimpy, really! However, if you do decide to give up this needless pursuit of ladies of the night, I would suggest that you try your hand at writing, instead of wringing. You do have a nice turn of phrase, even if not a nice turn of the throttle.
Dear Hillary,
With my friend Leticia, I came here on holiday from the UK and I am appalled at what I see. Letty and I are spinsters, to use the misused term, but still in our prime, and available, and we cannot understand why men of our age are so drawn into relationships with young and pretty Thai girls. Do these young girls know how to play hockey? Have they ever ridden to Hounds? Could they produce edible cucumber sandwiches or petit fours? They flaunt their bodies in abbreviated garments, not a panty hose in sight on the lower limbs displayed, that men seem to find attractive! We are the product of the finest education at St. Witchley Girls School, Lower Beeding, England, highly skilled in all the attributes to make any man a fine wife; cooking, needle point, punting and all the social graces. I was even Captain of the School Skipping Team in my last year, but despite this, we are losing ground to these young, nubile, scantily clad local girls and when approaching some of our male compatriots with a view to starting a meaningful relationship are told to get lost with such inelegant and unwarranted language being used as reference to ‘cows and silly old gits’ and sometimes some rather rude sounding foreign words. Hillary dear, do you think we should try and absorb some of the local culture such as body part patting, ear kissing and sub-table fondling to enable us to find our true mates? Should we really discard our tights and modest wear for something more revealing, expose our ankles and shoulders as a lure for love? We are ready for anything you suggest. Adore your column and it’s clear that YOU have a genteel background unlike so many others here.
Winifred Gruntfuttock

Dear Winfred,
Edible cucumber sandwiches! How could any man in his right mind turn you down? And been to the Hounds and skilled in needle point too! What veritable paragons of virtue you both are, slipping away from under the gaze of all these rough people here in Thailand. Mind you, I have to say, genteel ladies that we all are, you might have to bend to some of the customs of today, no matter how crass you and I realize them to be. I agree that a subtle flash of the shoulder here and there, a glimpse of the gams as you uncross your legs, will give the effect that you are trying to achieve, of being glamorous - available but so terribly “refeened”, you know what I mean. Personally I have given up the ignoble art of body part patting, as I have found a quick grab of the goolies gets the male’s attention a lot quicker, at which juncture you can stuff a sandwich in his mouth. I hope you have more success following my advice, Petals.


Camera Class: Black and White, and it’s not a minstrel show!

by Harry Flashman

A few weeks ago I was asked by a reader in Chiang Mai whether there was any ‘classical’ Black and White film available. You remember the type that is used with its own special chemicals for ‘dip and dunk’. After that you expose yourself (figuratively speaking) with the full creative control that only this kind of developing and printing process can give you.

Unfortunately, it is now more than a dying art, and the availability of film (and labs that can process it, if you don’t do it yourself) are becoming less. To be honest, I do not know of any outside Bangkok that can help the amateur photographer these days.

However, all is not lost (yet). There may not be the satisfaction of slopping chemicals into trays out of brown bottles under the subdued red lights, but it is still possible to play with contrasts (as if it were different contrast papers) using modern technology.

All the popular computer programs have a facility so that you can turn off the 256 colours and get into the ‘grey scales’ that will allow you to manipulate the images, as if you were dealing in black and white film printing. I know it’s not as much fun as ‘dodging’ and ‘burning’, but that is about where it begins and ends in today’s world in Thailand. In fact, if you know of some dip and dunk labs I would appreciate the information.

How fast is your film?

The “speed rating” of film is generally given by an ASA number. The higher the number, the faster and more sensitive the film. The most “usual” film speed is about 100 ASA; however, it makes a lot of sense to go for some different film speeds.

The trick is to adapt your film use to the kind of picture you want to take. Confused? Don’t be. The rationale behind film speed is simple. The faster the film (the higher the ASA number) the better it is in lower light levels. To put it simply, if you want to take shots in the evening without using a flash then select a film with ASA number up around 1600 or even higher. That film is five times more sensitive to light than your usual 100 ASA film. Or put another way, it will satisfactorily expose film at one fifth of the amount of light that the “normal” film needs.

All this super sensitivity comes at a price, though. And unfortunately that is “sharpness” and clarity. The faster the film, the more “fuzzy” it gets. Sometimes you may want to get that “soft” romantic look in a portrait. Again this is where you use the fast film and enlarge for the portrait. That “grainy” look is now at your command! Good for “glamour” portraits too. Around 800 ASA is good for this style, and keep the image small so that you have to enlarge to get the final print. This increases the chances of seeing ‘grain’.

At the other end of the scale, the lower (and slower) ASA numbers need a lot more light for proper exposure, but the film emulsion gives pin sharp clearly defined images. Pro shooter will often use 50 ASA film to get that crisp picture that will withstand big enlargements.

If you have a camera with DX de-coding, then the camera will automatically adjust for the different films used. However, if your camera has manual adjustment for film speed, remember to set the new ASA rating or you will have wasted a complete roll. And also remember to re-set the film speed when you go back to your usual film again.

In answer to your question, what film do I use for everyday? For me it’s 200 ASA for a good all-rounder, and I use a mixture of Konica (nice and cheap too) and Kodak, if I can’t get the former brand. No matter what film you use, though, keep it cool in its canister. Nothing ruins film quicker than heat.


Dr Byte's Computer Conundrums

by Dr Byte, Citec Asia

I was watching BBC Click-online not so long ago and one comment in particular caught my attention. Many countries, including Thailand, censure internet connections to “inappropriate” web site content. This comment was in segment relating to how China managed its internet and access the immoral and unethical wider world.

Quite what was meant by inappropriate I am not sure, because what is inappropriate to some is not inappropriate to others. However, let’s focus on Thailand where the Thai Government has openly admitted that they require Thai Internet Service Providers to prevent access to a blacklist of web sites that they consider inappropriate for Thai internet users. Usually but not always, you will see a message that tells you the web site you are trying to access is not available. Hardcore and softcore gay pornography, pedophile content and what is viewed as abnormal sexual activity are just some of the web sites now blacklisted. The question in my mind is what else are they preventing access to and how would you/I/we know?

This very rigid and authoritarian management of our right to access internet content good and bad (remember that the internet was all about access to information anywhere in the world, about anything you could conceivably want to know about) prompted me to start doing some digging to see just what I could connect to. I drew the line at nuclear bomb manufacture and other such web sites as well as web sites devoted to child abuse, drug use, and so on. What is fascinating is just how much remains available if you know where to look and how to look.

Now for some readers questions.

Philip from Lampang asks: I think I am losing emails. When I download e-mail using Outlook Express, the number downloaded is displayed but I can’t find some of them. Can this be attributable to messages received from my growing number of blocked senders?

Answer: There can be a number of reasons the total doesn’t add up. In case you have not already done so, go to the View menu, then Current View and make sure “Show all messages” is selected. Blocked senders or other message rules can also divert some emails straight to the deleted items folder, while they’re still counted as downloads. An inconsistent email count can also be a tell-tale sign of a damaged mailbox file. Have a look at http://www.insideout
lookexpress.com/ for more information on dealing with these and other common problems.

Khun Pratchern from Mae Rim asks: Every day I receive a message which says “Microsoft critical update information” and it reads: “New critical updates are available for your computer. Microsoft strongly recommends that you install these updates now.” Is it a legitimate message?

Answer: This message is legitimate and you should consider downloading the critical security patches if you have a licensed operating system. Many viruses or trojans spread because these patches are not applied. You can check and update by visiting windowsup date. microsoft.com - Now for a word of warning: Do NOT click on a link or file if you are notified by mail from Microsoft, because it is almost certainly a virus. Microsoft NEVER sends this advice with an attached file.

Khun David, Chiang Mai comments: I recently connected to ji-Net home use broadband but I am concerned about the possibility of infection. I am running Sygate’s personal firewall but presumably there are still vulnerabilities. Can you minimise the risk of infection by reducing connection time which means several connections per day, or is it better to log on once and stay connected? Is infection more likely when one logs on?

Answer: Publicity about viruses and trojans is certainly causing readers more anxiety in this area. Most firewalls are very good at keeping human hackers from accessing your computer. To give you peace of mind, go to the Gibson Research Corporation (http://www.grc.com/) and use “Shields-Up” to check your firewall by attempting to break in yourself. This is a reputable site and, even if your computer is wide open to the world, you will just get a list of all your vulnerabilities.

Don’t forget to keep your preferred anti-virus and spysweepers up to date. Do a full hard disc scan and sweep at least once a week. Don’t open e-mails with funny attachments if you’re not expecting them and last but not least, make sure your firewall is on. Dr Byte appears in Chiangmai Mail every 2 weeks and if you have any questions or suggestions you would like to make, you can contact me at Dr Byte, Chiangmai Mail.


Money Matters: Will Mu create friction?

Alan Hall
MBMG International Ltd.

An excellent research paper published by BCA Research is the basis for this week’s view. Much deliberation has been going on in our office about our commodity exposure, particularly with reference to Chinese growth, high prices and rising interest rates/slower US demand in the year ahead. Much has been written recently about US$ weakness and commodity price rises (including contributions by ourselves). We continue to remain commodity bulls as long as commodities remain dirt cheap, from a perspective of supply and demand. We have moved from a secular bear to secular bull and price action has turned upwards since 2000. China and the East are obviously key to this next bull cycle.

The G7 felt it prudent recently to invite China to their Davos meeting, so what does the next economic powerhouse have to say? Mr Mu is senior policy mandarin in the Chinese government and his interview with BCA covered Chinese economic outlook, credit policy, foreign exchange policy and China’s demand for energy and resources.

Mu feels the Chinese economy is in a low inflation expansion phase, which could persist for some time, although the economy has recently slowed a bit. The inflation threat is being removed as recent oil prices have helped contain corporate cost pressures and the recent decline in the USD is providing fresh stimulus. Mu is also pleasantly surprised at how the economy has responded to the government’s growth-curbing policies. To the “hard landing” forecasters, Mu reckons they have always been bearish towards Chinese policymakers and will be disappointed. While rhetoric like that perversely makes me even more bearish, it seemed to convince many less perverse observers and Mu does have many compelling arguments.

China has a mandate to manage a steady but fast growing economy, as job creation remains paramount.

Mu points out that China had 15 million new entries into the labour market last year. Yip, 15 million school leavers!

When quizzed on credit policy, Mu explained the surge in credit growth and the central bank panic actions. Mu feels that the action was “just in time” and that the falling RMB (due to a weak USD) is proving too stimulatory. Interest rates may need to rise again as fiscal policy is already tightening. Mu was adamant that the authorities were not considering changing the exchange rate at the moment, although he stated that the decision was not “if” but when was in their best interests, and those favouring a one off adjustment were winning the debate on “how” for now.

The conversation finally turned to China’s demand for energy and resources. Mu stated that the high economic growth had severely strained their natural resources. They are running out of oil, water supply is a major problem, forests have literally been destroyed and the mining sector is running on full throttle. China as manufacturing floor to the world will need an ever-increasing supply of natural resources and this problem needs to be addressed quickly.

Mu acknowledged risks to the story, although probably not to the extent that we see them. However, in the short term, China saves 45% of GDP and the authorities do need to promote consumption while reigning in investment; problems that Alan Greenspan would love to face!

Mu was perhaps more concerned with the impact of US policy on the global economy -”The US dollar is no longer (seen) as a stable currency and is devaluing all the time and that is causing trouble.”

He went on to say that “the real issue is how to go about changing current US Dollar peg to a more manageable reference, say euros, yen, dollars, that kind of diversified system.”

In our opinion, postulating about whether the Chinese will or will not revalue their currency is pointless. Firstly, the Chinese will only change their Renminbi peg when it suits them and secondly it is not likely to make a huge amount of difference to the US’s trade deficit. In a fascinating article in the FT, David Hale (a Chicago based economist) wrote about why a weaker dollar is not the cure for the deficit. To cut a very long story short, he pointed out that manufacturing is now such a small part of the US economy, that to export their way out of the deficit would require manufacturing capacity to operate at over 100%. This would in turn bring about higher inflation and ultimately a recession in the US and ultimately a normal recession. The bottom line is that the USA is not capable of relying on the export side of the equation to clear the deficit; they need to reduce their purchasing of imports. If the property market does struggle this year, we might indeed see a reduction in the deficit, but that will come with slower growth in the US.

In more evidence that a Renminbi revaluation would not be the cure all for the States, Stephen King (not the famous author, but chief economist of HSBC) points out that China only accounts for 10% of America’s total trade, hence a 10% revaluation of the Renminbi would only reduce the dollar’s trade weighted value by 1%. This is small compared with the dollar’s (trade weighted index) decline of 16% since early 2002 and not nearly high enough to make any real impact on the trade deficit.

Stephen King also points out that the Chinese might revalue their currency, not because of pressure from the rest of the world, but because they wish to switch to a more reliable store of value and unit of account. It is ironic to think that the biggest problem for China’s current exchange rate policy is not the Renminbi itself, but the performance of the dollar.

The above data and research was compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, neither MBMG International Ltd nor its officers can accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the above article nor bear any responsibility for any losses achieved as a result of any actions taken or not taken as a consequence of reading the above article. For more information please contact Alan Hall on alan@mbmg-international.com


Life in the Laugh Lane: Think Thai or Die: Chapter Three

by Scott Jones

14 percent of Bangkok policemen (665 of them!) recently failed an official test on Thai traffic laws and are not allowed to write tickets until they pass. Personally I don’t know how anyone keeps track of the ever-changing laws in Thailand. Bars must close at 2 a.m. From now on, bars must close at 12 a.m. Okay, you can stay open until 1 a.m. if you’re on the corner. Okay, fine, until 4 a.m. if your doors are closed, you have scantily-clad women cavorting about and your uncle’s an Official Whoever. As of yesterday, you can’t buy beer in the afternoon at the Convenience Store on the corner. Okay, you can buy beer in the afternoon at an Inconvenience Store down some tiny soi. Until October Whatever, there’s no charge for a tourist visa in Mae Sai. As of Whenever, to cross the border for 3.94 days, you must show us 21,354 baht, perform a traditional Thai dance naked and leave your first-born child or a bottle of Spey Royal, depending on how we feel at the moment.

I’ve never seen an exact speed limit sign in Thailand except on 30 km curves in the mountains. How do you enforce this sign/law?: REDUCE SPEED. (“Officer, I was going 126 but slowed to 124 through town until I saw a RESUME SPEED sign but there wasn’t one so I slowed to 122. Do I have to continue reducing speed until the car has stopped or until I’m dead?”) In America, they’re very strict and have fancy machines that know how fast you’re going, whether you’re carrying drugs in your spare tire and how much beer you bought at the last convenience store. (“I’m sorry, Officer, but my speedometer doesn’t have a 7.”)

Speed limits here are more personal than universal. You have a hunched, wizened, one-legged bicyclist traveling a bit below worm pace and a young buck in his new Nissan Deathfinder with his foot glued to the floor, speed determined only by which gear he’s in. The bigger it is, the faster it can go and the bigger right of way it has, no matter how wrong it is.

The Wisdom of the West says: If you’re on a motorcycle, ride like you’re invisible. Cars don’t see you. In the East, they see you. Bikes are everywhere. And they assume you’re on the far side of the road, traveling about 50. If you’re on a big bike, in the middle of “your” lane going 126, or on a Honda Dream at 90 dreaming you’re going 126, THINK THAI OR DIE. A very, very big bus is going to pass, come into “your” lane, straight into your face, assuming it has enough time to get back in its lane or that you’re going to be meekly riding on the edge of the ditch. If you think American, angry it’s “invading your space” and start yelling, your own words will be the last thing you hear before the final “THUMP” and you personally get to meet your personal deity.

You can’t fight ‘em. Join ‘em. Get into their brain before their front bumper gets into yours. Or I’ll bring a beer and toast you in the morgue, if I can figure out when the store sells it.




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